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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+9.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+5.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.75vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+3.31vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.40vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.85vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-0.91vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-0.21vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-3.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.11vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.71-8.44vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-6.57vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-5.31vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.35-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.93University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.31Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.79Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.89Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.69Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 16.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.