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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+10.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+7.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.30vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+3.00vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+2.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.24vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-0.16vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-5.06vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-2.92vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.01vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-3.49vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.27vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.71-6.03vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.84Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.99Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.51Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.97Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 18.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.