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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+7.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+8.13vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.20vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+0.24vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.01vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-2.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.63vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-3.48vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.69vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.13Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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5.2Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.57College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.59Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.57Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.52Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.04Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.