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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+7.76vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+8.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+4.90vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+1.92vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.51vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74+0.91vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.67vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.42vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.46vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.62vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.85vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.59vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.27vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.06-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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11.83Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.91Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.58Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.41Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% |
| Sky Adams | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.