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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.48+5.16vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+3.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.37+0.91vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+1.30vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.57vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.50+2.32vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College1.73+0.44vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.99-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.44+2.44vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University0.80+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.44+0.44vs Predicted
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13Colgate University1.24-2.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.90-2.91vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.19-4.85vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.14-2.16vs Predicted
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17Hamilton College0.75-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.49Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy3.370.2%1st Place
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4.71SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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9.32Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.44Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.61Columbia University1.990.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Rochester0.440.0%1st Place
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11.38Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Rochester0.440.0%1st Place
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10.11Colgate University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Military Academy0.900.0%1st Place
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10.15Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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13.84Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.61Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 17.9% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 23.2% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Freedman | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Freedman | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Swift | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lovo | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Richardson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 43.2% | 0.0% |
| Julie Webster | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.