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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.86vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+8.98vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.53+6.39vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-2.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-1.31vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-4.33vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.16vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.36vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.17vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.98Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.69Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.84Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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11.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 14.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.