← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.71+5.86vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+6.28vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.82+7.61vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.33vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.97+4.62vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.90+4.03vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.18+1.78vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College3.06+1.28vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.10-3.90vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.65vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.53+0.72vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.85-1.39vs Predicted
-
13Boston University2.74-2.49vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.71-3.50vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.99-5.42vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.18vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.67vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.86College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.28Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.61Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.62Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
-
10.03University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.78Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.28Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
6.35University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
11.72Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
10.61Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
10.51Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
10.5Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.58University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
11.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
12.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.1% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 18.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.