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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.45vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+8.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+3.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.65vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.22vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+1.80vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+0.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.24vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-0.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.93vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.54vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.05vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-5.73vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-7.05vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.92Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.6Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.92Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.95University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.27Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 15.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.