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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+8.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.53+9.86vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+7.25vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.97vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+4.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.85vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71+1.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.36vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.41vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.05vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.71-7.63vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-5.47vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-5.64vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-7.01vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.86Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.13Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.59Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.37College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.36Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.