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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+0.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03-0.03vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Washington0.8137.6%1st Place
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2.06University of Washington0.7436.7%1st Place
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2.97Western Washington University0.0313.9%1st Place
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3.33Western Washington University-0.5110.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Oregon-2.061.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 37.6% | 32.0% | 21.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 36.7% | 31.4% | 22.1% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Niko Twilla | 13.9% | 19.7% | 28.7% | 30.9% | 6.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 10.0% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 40.2% | 13.3% |
| ella notdurft | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 12.4% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.