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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+8.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+7.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+7.54vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+5.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.71vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.69vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+1.92vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-0.99vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+1.87vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.26vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.77vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-2.49vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.10-8.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-8.93vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-5.73vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.28vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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10.54Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.92University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.87Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.51Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.27Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 16.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.