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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+9.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+6.25vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.69vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.59vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.74vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.25vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-0.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.22vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-4.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-0.77vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-3.79vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-3.68vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-9.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.90-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.21vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.25Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.23Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.32Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.4Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.