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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+0.07vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+0.36vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.03-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Washington0.8138.3%1st Place
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2.07University of Washington0.7436.1%1st Place
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3.36Western Washington University-0.518.4%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University0.0315.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Oregon-2.062.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 38.3% | 34.0% | 18.3% | 8.6% | 0.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 36.1% | 32.4% | 21.5% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 8.4% | 13.4% | 24.7% | 40.9% | 12.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 15.2% | 17.6% | 30.3% | 29.6% | 7.3% |
| ella notdurft | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 12.2% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.