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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.41vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+8.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+6.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.00vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+3.08vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.23vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-0.37vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.26vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74+0.90vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53+0.67vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.13vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-4.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.35vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-10.70vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.71-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.23Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.9Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.67Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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12.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.14Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.