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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.51+2.36vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.03+0.95vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74-0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.81-1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Western Washington University-0.5110.0%1st Place
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2.95Western Washington University0.0314.0%1st Place
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2.07University of Washington0.7434.8%1st Place
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2.01University of Washington0.8138.9%1st Place
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4.61University of Oregon-2.062.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Morrow | 10.0% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 41.2% | 13.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 14.0% | 20.3% | 29.2% | 29.7% | 6.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 34.8% | 33.6% | 22.1% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 38.9% | 31.1% | 21.3% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| ella notdurft | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 12.8% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.