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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.03+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.81+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74-0.91vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Western Washington University0.0313.9%1st Place
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2.02University of Washington0.8138.0%1st Place
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2.09University of Washington0.7435.4%1st Place
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3.31Western Washington University-0.5110.7%1st Place
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4.61University of Oregon-2.062.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Twilla | 13.9% | 19.5% | 29.3% | 30.3% | 7.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 38.0% | 32.5% | 20.1% | 8.5% | 1.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 35.4% | 31.7% | 22.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 10.7% | 13.7% | 23.0% | 39.1% | 13.5% |
| ella notdurft | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 12.4% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.