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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.22vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.59vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+4.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+4.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+3.75vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+4.45vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.22vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-2.97vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+3.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.43vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.05vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-3.81vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-0.99vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.81vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.51-5.62vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.1Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.01Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.29University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 19.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 21.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.