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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+0.08vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03-0.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Washington0.8139.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Washington0.7434.6%1st Place
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2.98Western Washington University0.0314.4%1st Place
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3.34Western Washington University-0.519.3%1st Place
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4.58University of Oregon-2.062.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 39.1% | 30.6% | 21.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 34.6% | 33.6% | 22.3% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Niko Twilla | 14.4% | 17.9% | 29.0% | 32.2% | 6.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 9.3% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 39.9% | 14.1% |
| ella notdurft | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.