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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.83vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.86vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.39vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.12vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97+5.20vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-0.81vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.71vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58+0.09vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.51-0.45vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.70vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-1.45vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-6.59vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-4.51vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.97-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.2Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.55Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.49University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 17.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.