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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+0.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+0.42vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.03-1.08vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.06-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Washington0.8137.8%1st Place
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2.06University of Washington0.7436.3%1st Place
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3.42Western Washington University-0.519.0%1st Place
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2.92Western Washington University0.0314.7%1st Place
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4.58University of Oregon-2.062.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 37.8% | 32.6% | 20.9% | 8.1% | 0.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 36.3% | 32.0% | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 9.0% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 41.0% | 15.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 14.7% | 20.0% | 30.6% | 27.7% | 7.1% |
| ella notdurft | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 13.9% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.