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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.81+0.03vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.06+0.59vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Washington0.7434.3%1st Place
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2.03University of Washington0.8137.5%1st Place
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2.94Western Washington University0.0315.5%1st Place
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4.59University of Oregon-2.062.1%1st Place
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3.34Western Washington University-0.5110.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 34.3% | 33.7% | 21.1% | 9.6% | 1.4% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 37.5% | 32.0% | 21.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Niko Twilla | 15.5% | 18.4% | 29.9% | 28.8% | 7.3% |
| ella notdurft | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 13.7% | 76.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 10.7% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 39.6% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.