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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.58+10.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.80vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+8.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+3.22vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+6.90vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-0.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+2.54vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-2.23vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-3.84vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-1.00vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-6.71vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.49vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-5.33vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-9.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.15Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.42Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.9Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.17Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.54University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.0Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Amina Brown | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 21.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.