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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+0.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-2.06+0.58vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Washington0.8138.5%1st Place
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2.06University of Washington0.7435.0%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University0.0314.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Oregon-2.062.6%1st Place
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3.37Western Washington University-0.519.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 38.5% | 31.2% | 20.3% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 35.0% | 34.5% | 20.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Niko Twilla | 14.1% | 19.1% | 29.9% | 30.1% | 6.8% |
| ella notdurft | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 77.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 9.8% | 12.6% | 22.5% | 41.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.