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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.39+2.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+0.64vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51-1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Washington-1.3916.1%1st Place
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2.64Western Washington University0.6427.3%1st Place
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3.15Western Washington University0.2316.0%1st Place
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2.72University of Washington0.5124.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Oregon0.1116.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 16.1% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 25.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 27.3% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 11.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 16.0% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 22.6% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 24.2% | 23.8% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 13.4% |
| Emily Avey | 16.4% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 22.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.