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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.66+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.44+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.10+0.50vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.36-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.03-1.27vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.86-1.05vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.00-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Washington-0.668.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Washington0.4424.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Washington0.1017.1%1st Place
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3.06Western Washington University0.3622.8%1st Place
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3.73University of Washington-0.0314.6%1st Place
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4.95Western Washington University-0.866.7%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University-1.006.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Kahle | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 21.5% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 24.3% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 22.8% | 21.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Svea Hallberg | 14.6% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Annelisa Ayars | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 27.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.