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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.51+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.39+1.21vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23+0.11vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.64-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of Washington0.5122.9%1st Place
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3.21University of Washington-1.3916.1%1st Place
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3.11Western Washington University0.2318.4%1st Place
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2.67Western Washington University0.6425.4%1st Place
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3.24University of Oregon0.1117.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 22.9% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% |
| Emily Smith | 16.1% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 24.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 18.4% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 25.4% | 23.3% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 11.7% |
| Emily Avey | 17.2% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.