← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Embry-Riddle University0.76+2.30vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.43-0.30vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.87-0.84vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida-1.50+2.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida-0.36-0.19vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University-0.38-1.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-2.04-0.08vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College-1.27-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Embry-Riddle University0.760.1%1st Place
-
1.7Eckerd College2.430.5%1st Place
-
2.16Jacksonville University1.870.3%1st Place
-
6.34University of South Florida-1.500.0%1st Place
-
4.81University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.81Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.92University of Miami-2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.96Rollins College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hurley | 9.8% | 16.9% | 32.0% | 23.1% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Walker Banks | 51.8% | 31.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 29.8% | 37.7% | 22.5% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Smith | 0.5% | 1.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 28.4% | 27.1% |
| Thomas Monson | 3.2% | 3.9% | 11.2% | 22.1% | 26.1% | 19.5% | 11.1% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Martin | 3.2% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 23.7% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Kaminsky | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 50.6% |
| Cameron Lamir | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 24.6% | 25.9% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.