← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.44+1.98vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.36+1.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.10+0.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.66+0.70vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.86-0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.03-2.29vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University-1.00-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98University of Washington0.4423.4%1st Place
-
3.07Western Washington University0.3621.5%1st Place
-
3.33University of Washington0.1019.3%1st Place
-
4.7University of Washington-0.667.3%1st Place
-
4.95Western Washington University-0.867.5%1st Place
-
3.71University of Washington-0.0315.0%1st Place
-
5.27Oregon State University-1.005.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Samuel Delasanta | 23.4% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Leopold Sabharwal | 21.5% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 19.3% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
Sarah Kahle | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 20.5% |
Annelisa Ayars | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 23.4% | 26.2% |
Svea Hallberg | 15.0% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 7.3% |
Quincy Spurlock | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.