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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.51+1.74vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.64+0.65vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.39-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Washington0.5125.1%1st Place
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2.65Western Washington University0.6426.8%1st Place
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3.13Western Washington University0.2317.4%1st Place
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3.23University of Washington-1.3914.6%1st Place
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3.25University of Oregon0.1116.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 25.1% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 13.5% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 26.8% | 23.3% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 12.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 17.4% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 22.6% |
| Emily Smith | 14.6% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 24.9% |
| Emily Avey | 16.0% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.