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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
6.2
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+6.02vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+2.49vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.25+7.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+2.76vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+14.84vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.20+4.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.83+11.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.81+4.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.71+4.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.11vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.59+7.90vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.56vs Predicted
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14University of Texas0.77+4.95vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.64-5.67vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.76+3.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.40vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia0.92+0.39vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-8.80vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California1.52-4.47vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.26vs Predicted
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22Oregon State University1.52-7.19vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-7.45vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay0.50-3.52vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-2.01vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands0.37-6.16vs Predicted
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28Eckerd College2.89-19.98vs Predicted
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29Stanford University4.19-25.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.66California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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20.84California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.63Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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19.05University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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19.9University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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18.95University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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19.13University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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17.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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18.39University of British Columbia0.920.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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15.53University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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19.74California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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14.81Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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15.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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20.48California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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22.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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20.84California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.02Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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3.76Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Granchelli | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 23.1% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.