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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.99vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+7.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+8.34vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+4.50vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71+7.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12+4.38vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.25+2.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81+4.04vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University2.20+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.68-6.72vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.04-5.25vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-5.92vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.82vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.03vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.95vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.64vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University1.52-3.61vs Predicted
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20University of Texas0.77-0.67vs Predicted
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21University of British Columbia0.92-2.74vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.83-3.70vs Predicted
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23University of Southern California1.52-8.12vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.76-4.68vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.95vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay0.50-6.11vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands0.37-6.05vs Predicted
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29University of British Columbia0.59-9.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.39California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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11.68Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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8.08Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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19.82California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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15.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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20.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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17.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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15.39Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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19.33University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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18.26University of British Columbia0.920.0%1st Place
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18.3University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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19.32University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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23.05University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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19.89California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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20.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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19.76University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 19.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Granchelli | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.