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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.80vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+4.83vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+6.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.12+7.86vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25+6.00vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.20+5.43vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.68-1.89vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+12.00vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-1.54vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71+2.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.77+5.55vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.89vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.89-8.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-5.89vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.30vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia0.92-2.10vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-5.49vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego1.81-8.85vs Predicted
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23University of British Columbia0.59-3.44vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis0.83-5.83vs Predicted
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25University of Southern California1.52-10.24vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands0.37-6.00vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles0.44-7.25vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay0.50-8.12vs Predicted
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29University of Oregon0.76-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.83Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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11.43Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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20.0California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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7.31California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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18.55University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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16.89University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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8.19Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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19.3California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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17.9University of British Columbia0.920.0%1st Place
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15.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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19.56University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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18.17University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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20.0California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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19.75University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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19.88California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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19.08University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 22.4% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Granchelli | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.