← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.51+1.77vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.23+1.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-1.39+0.21vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.64-1.36vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon0.11-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.77University of Washington0.5123.5%1st Place
-
3.09Western Washington University0.2317.3%1st Place
-
3.21University of Washington-1.3916.7%1st Place
-
2.64Western Washington University0.6426.8%1st Place
-
3.29University of Oregon0.1115.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pentimonti | 23.5% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 13.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 17.3% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
| Emily Smith | 16.7% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 25.5% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 26.8% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 12.0% |
| Emily Avey | 15.8% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.