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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.79vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+5.58vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+5.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+2.62vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+10.26vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.25+5.23vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.20+4.35vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.64vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.77+8.45vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.68-5.90vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.64-2.52vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.71-0.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.76+1.67vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.30vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California1.52-4.19vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.30vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.81-9.53vs Predicted
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24University of British Columbia0.59-4.69vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-8.12vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.83-8.01vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay0.50-7.09vs Predicted
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28University of British Columbia0.92-9.72vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands0.37-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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7.58California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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15.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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11.35Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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18.45University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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20.38California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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18.67University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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19.3California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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19.7University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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19.31University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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16.88University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.99University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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19.91California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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18.28University of British Columbia0.920.0%1st Place
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20.38California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 21.0% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Granchelli | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.