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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.39+2.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+1.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Washington-1.3916.6%1st Place
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3.09Western Washington University0.2319.1%1st Place
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2.7Western Washington University0.6424.6%1st Place
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2.73University of Washington0.5124.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Oregon0.1115.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 16.6% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 25.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 19.1% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 21.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 24.6% | 24.6% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 13.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 24.1% | 23.6% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 13.5% |
| Emily Avey | 15.8% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.