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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+7.74vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25+8.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+4.34vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+1.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.08vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.20+4.74vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+13.28vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.68-3.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.71+4.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.83+8.10vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-4.54vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.52+2.39vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-6.41vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.92+3.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+1.45vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University1.52-1.52vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.94vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-8.75vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon0.76-0.43vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-8.71vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.61-2.50vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego1.81-10.53vs Predicted
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25University of Texas0.77-5.62vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay0.50-5.62vs Predicted
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27University of British Columbia0.59-7.35vs Predicted
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28University of California at Los Angeles0.44-7.42vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands0.37-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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9.74University of Southern California2.640.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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8.34Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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11.74Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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21.28California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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19.1University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.46California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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15.39University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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18.46University of British Columbia0.920.0%1st Place
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17.45University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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15.48Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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16.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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19.57University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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19.5California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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19.38University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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20.38California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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19.65University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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20.58University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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21.28California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 20.5% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Granchelli | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.