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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.39+2.22vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+1.13vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.64-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Washington-1.3916.6%1st Place
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3.13Western Washington University0.2317.9%1st Place
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2.68Western Washington University0.6425.4%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington0.5124.3%1st Place
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3.28University of Oregon0.1115.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Smith | 16.6% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 25.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 17.9% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 22.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 25.4% | 22.7% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 24.3% | 25.4% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| Emily Avey | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.