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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.80vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+6.47vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+4.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+2.63vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+14.95vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.25+5.17vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71+4.75vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.68-4.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.12+0.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+5.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.89vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.81-1.59vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.04vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.83+1.30vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.30vs Predicted
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19University of British Columbia0.92-1.09vs Predicted
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20University of Texas0.77-1.40vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-5.82vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon0.76-3.14vs Predicted
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23University of British Columbia0.59-3.67vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.95vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands0.37-6.05vs Predicted
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27University of Southern California1.52-12.44vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay0.50-8.15vs Predicted
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29Santa Clara University2.20-17.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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8.47Eckerd College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.4California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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19.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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17.19University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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18.3University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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19.3California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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17.91University of British Columbia0.920.0%1st Place
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18.6University of Texas0.770.0%1st Place
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15.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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18.86University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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19.33University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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20.05University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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19.95California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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19.85California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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11.78Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 21.8% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Granchelli | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.