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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+0.89vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+0.41vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.66vs Predicted
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4American University-0.93+0.20vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.18-1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Virginia Tech1.1445.3%1st Place
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2.41Christopher Newport University0.8326.6%1st Place
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3.66Catholic University of America-0.389.9%1st Place
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4.2American University-0.935.3%1st Place
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3.44William and Mary-0.1811.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-2.161.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 45.3% | 31.1% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 26.6% | 31.8% | 22.2% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Walters | 9.9% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 26.5% | 23.6% | 7.8% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.3% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 35.5% | 16.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.0% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 26.5% | 18.8% | 5.5% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 14.9% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.