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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+1.44vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14-0.11vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.72vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.65vs Predicted
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5American University-0.93-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Christopher Newport University0.8327.3%1st Place
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1.89Virginia Tech1.1444.9%1st Place
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3.72Catholic University of America-0.388.6%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary-0.1811.7%1st Place
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4.19American University-0.935.9%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-2.161.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 27.3% | 28.5% | 24.2% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 44.9% | 30.6% | 17.0% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 25.2% | 26.6% | 8.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.7% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 26.2% | 16.8% | 5.1% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 34.6% | 16.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.