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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+1.42vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14-0.16vs Predicted
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3American University-0.93+1.25vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.16+0.41vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Christopher Newport University0.8326.5%1st Place
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1.84Virginia Tech1.1447.1%1st Place
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4.25American University-0.935.5%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary-0.1810.8%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-2.161.5%1st Place
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3.72Catholic University of America-0.388.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 26.5% | 29.8% | 25.1% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 47.1% | 30.3% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 36.1% | 17.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 10.8% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 70.0% |
| Alex Walters | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 26.2% | 25.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.