← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.78+6.49vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University2.22+7.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.79+4.44vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.06+2.02vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.48+8.58vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+2.90vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine1.35+7.42vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego1.60+5.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.92-2.39vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.23-4.34vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.78+6.48vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+1.78vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.34vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands0.50+4.64vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.95vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California2.47-7.54vs Predicted
-
17Oregon State University1.47-3.26vs Predicted
-
18University of Hawaii1.65-5.30vs Predicted
-
19University of British Columbia0.78-1.51vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-4.22vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis0.42-2.84vs Predicted
-
23California State University Channel Islands0.50-4.36vs Predicted
-
24California State University Monterey Bay0.84-7.49vs Predicted
-
25University of British Columbia-0.20-3.33vs Predicted
-
26University of Oregon0.15-5.35vs Predicted
-
27University of Texas0.40-7.76vs Predicted
-
28University of California at Los Angeles0.58-9.91vs Predicted
-
29California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.49Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
-
9.96Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.02Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
13.58University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
-
8.9California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
14.42University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
6.61University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
5.66Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
17.48University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
13.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
-
10.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
-
18.64California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
-
16.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
13.74Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
12.7University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
-
17.49University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
-
16.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
-
19.16University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
18.64California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
-
16.51California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
-
21.67University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
-
20.65University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
-
19.24University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
-
18.09University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
22.75California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Savoie | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.