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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+0.86vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+0.41vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.74vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.16+0.40vs Predicted
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6American University-0.93-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Virginia Tech1.1446.6%1st Place
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2.41Christopher Newport University0.8326.5%1st Place
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3.74Catholic University of America-0.388.9%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary-0.1811.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Pittsburgh-2.161.2%1st Place
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4.23American University-0.935.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 46.6% | 29.9% | 16.2% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 26.5% | 30.6% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Walters | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 28.0% | 24.9% | 8.5% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.2% | 16.5% | 24.6% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 69.7% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 36.2% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.