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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
6.3
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+5.82vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+14.71vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+4.34vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay-0.45+18.84vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.06+0.96vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.22+3.54vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.78+10.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35+6.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+8.00vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.28-0.33vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-5.69vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.37vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.50+4.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42+4.11vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.47-7.63vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.65-4.28vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego1.60-5.18vs Predicted
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19University of Texas0.40+0.38vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.50-1.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.58-2.41vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley1.48-8.65vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay0.84-6.50vs Predicted
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24Oregon State University1.47-10.85vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon0.15-4.37vs Predicted
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27University of British Columbia0.78-9.82vs Predicted
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28University of British Columbia-0.20-6.49vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-15.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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16.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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7.34Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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22.84California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.54Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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17.48University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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17.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Washington2.280.0%1st Place
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5.31Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.84California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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18.61California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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19.11University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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12.72University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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19.38University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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18.61California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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18.59University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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16.5California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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13.15Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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20.63University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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17.18University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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21.51University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 13.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.