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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+1.46vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14-0.15vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+0.37vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.31vs Predicted
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5American University-0.93-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Christopher Newport University0.8325.4%1st Place
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1.85Virginia Tech1.1447.0%1st Place
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3.37William and Mary-0.1811.5%1st Place
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3.69Catholic University of America-0.388.5%1st Place
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4.23American University-0.935.5%1st Place
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5.39University of Pittsburgh-2.162.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 25.4% | 30.4% | 23.5% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 47.0% | 29.8% | 15.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.5% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 26.1% | 19.4% | 4.2% |
| Alex Walters | 8.5% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 26.6% | 23.8% | 8.2% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.5% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 35.6% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Reilly | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.