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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.13+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.14+0.80vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.40+1.52vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.08-0.56vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.49-4.24vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.03-3.89vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.81-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Washington2.140.2%1st Place
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3.59Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.52University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Sainsbury | 29.1% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Johnson | 25.0% | 25.0% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 16.0% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 13.4% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Nelson | 13.1% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Michael Trombatore | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 31.0% | 23.9% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.