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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+0.87vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+1.72vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.83-0.54vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.65vs Predicted
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5American University-0.93-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Virginia Tech1.1447.6%1st Place
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3.72Catholic University of America-0.388.3%1st Place
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2.46Christopher Newport University0.8323.5%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary-0.1812.4%1st Place
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4.19American University-0.936.5%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-2.161.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 47.6% | 27.6% | 16.4% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 8.3% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 26.5% | 25.6% | 8.2% |
| Daniel Hodges | 23.5% | 32.0% | 24.6% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Dutilly | 12.4% | 15.8% | 23.5% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 4.2% |
| John Spiccioli | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 35.9% | 16.2% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.