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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.22+9.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.79+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.78+13.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+5.62vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+2.89vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.50+12.04vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.06-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-0.32vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.84+7.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+1.81vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+3.67vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.92-7.54vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.78-7.96vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University1.47-2.30vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.60-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.65-5.26vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California0.78-2.44vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine1.35-6.51vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.42-2.90vs Predicted
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23University of Texas0.40-4.11vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-7.46vs Predicted
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25University of British Columbia-0.20-2.96vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands0.50-6.96vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon0.15-6.73vs Predicted
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28California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-5.49vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles0.58-10.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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17.3University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.89California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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19.04California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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17.43California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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13.68University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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16.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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7.04Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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13.7Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.08University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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17.56University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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19.1University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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18.89University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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16.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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22.04University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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19.04California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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20.27University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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22.51California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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18.21University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wood | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 6.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.