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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.83+1.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14-0.14vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.65vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.61vs Predicted
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5American University-0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Christopher Newport University0.8324.9%1st Place
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1.86Virginia Tech1.1446.9%1st Place
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3.65Catholic University of America-0.388.5%1st Place
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3.39William and Mary-0.1811.9%1st Place
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4.2American University-0.935.8%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-2.161.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 24.9% | 30.1% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 46.9% | 29.6% | 15.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alex Walters | 8.5% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 24.0% | 24.9% | 7.5% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.9% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 26.3% | 18.7% | 4.8% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 33.6% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.