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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+5.30vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.79+4.48vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.22+5.75vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.65+7.70vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+2.91vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35+6.62vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University1.47+4.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48+3.92vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.78+6.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.60+0.99vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.50+5.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.46-0.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42+4.18vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.84+1.06vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-0.20+4.88vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.92-11.36vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-2.41vs Predicted
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20University of Texas0.40-0.44vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.17vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-12.83vs Predicted
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24University of Southern California2.47-15.68vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles0.58-6.39vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands0.50-7.11vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-4.30vs Predicted
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28University of Oregon0.15-7.94vs Predicted
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29University of British Columbia0.78-11.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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5.61Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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9.75Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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8.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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7.21Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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14.62University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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13.82Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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17.5University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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12.99University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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18.89California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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19.18University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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17.06California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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21.88University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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16.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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19.56University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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18.61University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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18.89California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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22.7California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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20.06University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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17.18University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.