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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+0.84vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+1.49vs Predicted
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3American University-1.62+1.81vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.83-1.64vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.18-1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.16-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Virginia Tech1.1447.6%1st Place
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3.49Catholic University of America-0.389.9%1st Place
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4.81American University-1.622.5%1st Place
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2.36Christopher Newport University0.8326.5%1st Place
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3.24William and Mary-0.1812.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Pittsburgh-2.161.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 47.6% | 29.7% | 15.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 9.9% | 13.2% | 22.8% | 30.4% | 19.2% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Juros | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 37.2% | 33.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 26.5% | 32.0% | 24.7% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Dutilly | 12.0% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 28.1% | 14.1% | 3.1% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 24.7% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.