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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+0.85vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+0.42vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.66vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.16+0.41vs Predicted
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6American University-0.93-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Virginia Tech1.1447.8%1st Place
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2.42Christopher Newport University0.8325.4%1st Place
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3.66Catholic University of America-0.388.7%1st Place
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3.42William and Mary-0.1810.7%1st Place
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5.41University of Pittsburgh-2.161.8%1st Place
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4.25American University-0.935.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 47.8% | 28.5% | 16.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 25.4% | 33.1% | 22.7% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Walters | 8.7% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 28.6% | 23.0% | 7.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 10.7% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 5.5% |
| Aidan Reilly | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 70.7% |
| John Spiccioli | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 36.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.