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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.16vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.48+0.46vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+1.36vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.40-0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.70-0.87vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.67-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Virginia Tech0.7338.0%1st Place
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2.46Christopher Newport University0.4828.9%1st Place
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4.36American University-0.916.8%1st Place
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3.8Catholic University of America-0.409.4%1st Place
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4.13University of Pittsburgh-0.707.9%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.679.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 38.0% | 29.2% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| David Grace | 28.9% | 27.3% | 22.8% | 13.1% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Anika Liner | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 32.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 21.1% | 16.7% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 25.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 24.6% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.