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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+8.33vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.50+17.11vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+9.72vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.78+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+10.83vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60+5.29vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.79-1.80vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-4.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.38vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.84+5.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35+1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.92-7.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.50vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.78+1.35vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-0.42vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.40+1.42vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University1.47-5.27vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.42-1.48vs Predicted
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22University of Hawaii1.65-9.34vs Predicted
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23University of British Columbia-0.20-1.57vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.58-5.89vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands0.50-5.89vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-3.05vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon0.15-6.69vs Predicted
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28University of British Columbia0.78-10.99vs Predicted
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29Santa Clara University2.22-19.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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19.11California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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7.24Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.29University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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17.11California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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17.35University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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16.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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19.42University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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13.73Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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19.52University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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21.43University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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18.11University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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19.11California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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22.95California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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20.31University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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17.01University of British Columbia0.780.0%1st Place
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9.53Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Lamb | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.