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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.20vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.48+0.48vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.70+0.11vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.88vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.40-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Virginia Tech0.7336.6%1st Place
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2.48Christopher Newport University0.4829.8%1st Place
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4.35American University-0.916.6%1st Place
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4.11University of Pittsburgh-0.707.8%1st Place
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4.12William and Mary-0.678.3%1st Place
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3.74Catholic University of America-0.4010.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 36.6% | 28.8% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| David Grace | 29.8% | 26.5% | 21.3% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Anika Liner | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 24.1% | 30.6% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 24.6% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 23.6% | 24.7% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.9% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.