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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+3.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+3.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+2.60vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85+1.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+0.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05+1.84vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-0.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+1.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76+0.44vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.32+2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.35vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-5.57vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.67-5.28vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-11.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.6Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.28Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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6.67Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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11.44University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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15.04Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.72Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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6.56Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 3.1% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 7.6% | 22.3% | 60.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 38.1% | 31.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% |
| John Silvestri | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.