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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-0.70+2.17vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.40+0.78vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67+0.11vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.59-2.58vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Virginia Tech0.7335.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Pittsburgh-0.707.5%1st Place
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3.78Catholic University of America-0.4011.5%1st Place
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4.11William and Mary-0.678.0%1st Place
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2.42Christopher Newport University0.5930.7%1st Place
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4.32American University-0.917.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 35.1% | 29.8% | 20.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 25.9% |
| Clare Wagner | 11.5% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 17.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 23.4% |
| Luke Hayes | 30.7% | 27.9% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Anika Liner | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 23.3% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.