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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+3.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+2.31vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+0.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87-0.67vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-0.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23+2.07vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-2.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76+0.41vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.13-1.51vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.05-7.28vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-4.38vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.65vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.71Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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11.41University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.62Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.12Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 13.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| John Silvestri | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 10.6% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Sam Gates | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 39.4% | 32.1% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 22.8% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.