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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.59+1.41vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.70+1.12vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67+0.06vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.40-1.19vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Christopher Newport University0.5931.1%1st Place
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2.23Virginia Tech0.7335.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Pittsburgh-0.708.3%1st Place
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4.06William and Mary-0.678.0%1st Place
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3.81Catholic University of America-0.4010.4%1st Place
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4.37American University-0.916.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hayes | 31.1% | 26.6% | 21.1% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Young | 35.2% | 29.5% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Kearns | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 25.2% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 22.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 22.5% | 16.4% |
| Anika Liner | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.