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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+4.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+3.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+4.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+1.73vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+1.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87-0.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95-3.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76+0.51vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-5.51vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.34vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.13-3.54vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-4.87vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-4.21vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.32-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.73Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.23Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.34Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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11.51University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.49Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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14.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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11.79Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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15.14Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| John Silvestri | 9.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 37.8% | 31.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 3.0% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 23.7% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.