← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.48+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech0.73+0.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh-0.70+0.78vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary-0.67-0.23vs Predicted
-
5American University-0.91-0.91vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-1.66-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32Christopher Newport University0.4830.9%1st Place
-
2.09Virginia Tech0.7338.9%1st Place
-
3.78University of Pittsburgh-0.709.8%1st Place
-
3.77William and Mary-0.679.7%1st Place
-
4.09American University-0.917.4%1st Place
-
4.95Catholic University of America-1.663.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 30.9% | 29.0% | 23.6% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Young | 38.9% | 30.1% | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Kearns | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.7% | 23.9% | 13.4% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.7% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 13.0% |
| Anika Liner | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 26.2% | 19.9% |
| Cecilia Johnson | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.