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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+1.32vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.67+1.83vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73-0.94vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.70-1.20vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.66-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Christopher Newport University0.4832.2%1st Place
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3.83William and Mary-0.679.2%1st Place
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2.06Virginia Tech0.7339.0%1st Place
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4.05American University-0.917.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Pittsburgh-0.709.0%1st Place
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4.93Catholic University of America-1.663.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 32.2% | 29.1% | 20.8% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.2% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 14.3% |
| Aidan Young | 39.0% | 29.9% | 20.3% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Anika Liner | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 26.1% | 19.2% |
| Olivia Kearns | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 22.6% | 14.1% |
| Cecilia Johnson | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.