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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+6.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.95+3.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+3.52vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+0.70vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85-0.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87-1.64vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41-2.27vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-4.91vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+3.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-1.61vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67-2.33vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-5.83vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-5.55vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.32-1.93vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-11.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.52Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.7Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.23University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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11.39University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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11.67Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.07Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.3Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 13.6% | 38.4% | 29.4% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Paige Fagan | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 2.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 14.1% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 21.2% | 62.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.