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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+4.19vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+4.48vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+2.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+0.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+0.75vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-2.74vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05-1.36vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-3.79vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.67+0.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.23-1.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.76-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.13-4.58vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.64vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.48Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.63Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.75Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.21Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.72Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.230.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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11.43University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.12Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 12.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Robert Queisser | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 11.2% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 39.2% | 32.2% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 22.6% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.