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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.28vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.59+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.70+1.16vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+0.33vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-0.94vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.40-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Virginia Tech0.7334.4%1st Place
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2.42Christopher Newport University0.5930.0%1st Place
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4.16University of Pittsburgh-0.707.2%1st Place
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4.33American University-0.918.2%1st Place
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4.06William and Mary-0.678.9%1st Place
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3.75Catholic University of America-0.4011.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 34.4% | 28.9% | 18.6% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Luke Hayes | 30.0% | 28.4% | 20.5% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 22.8% | 25.1% |
| Anika Liner | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 32.5% |
| Julia Hudson | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 23.3% | 23.3% |
| Clare Wagner | 11.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.